• MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0912

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Tue May 20 22:48:39 2025
    ACUS11 KWNS 202248
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 202247=20
    ALZ000-TNZ000-210045-

    Mesoscale Discussion 0912
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0547 PM CDT Tue May 20 2025

    Areas affected...Far Northern Alabama

    Concerning...Tornado Watch 305...

    Valid 202247Z - 210045Z

    The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 305 continues.

    SUMMARY...A threat for tornadoes, very large hail and wind damage
    will continue over the next couple of hours across far northern
    Alabama.

    DISCUSSION...The latest hi-resolution radar imagery from Huntsville,
    shows two intense supercells across far northern Alabama. These
    storms are located near an axis of moderate instability, where the
    RAP has MLCAPE around 2500 J/kg. The latest WSR-88D VWP in the
    vicinity of the storms has 0-6 km shear of 45 to 50 knots, 0-3 km storm-relative helicity near 200 m2/s2, and a curved hodograph. This environment will continue to support intense supercell development.
    A tornado will be possible over the next hour, especially as these
    two supercells interact with each other. The supercells could also
    produce very large hail and wind damage.

    ..Broyles.. 05/20/2025

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!4WviQtpDTeIi4zCi7tNeNVPxpV8fe3TXT4aMSC903Q--YjcLuMSvp1ZWjWaQE6LS_MIgEdeR3= FlabxFs20X4PlsLpik$ for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...OHX...HUN...

    LAT...LON 35008647 34988716 34978749 34938774 34808787 34678788
    34548771 34488724 34488683 34488623 34688598 34888601
    34998620 35008647=20

    MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...120-150 MPH
    MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...75-90 MPH
    MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.50-2.50 IN


    =3D =3D =3D
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