ACUS11 KWNS 170316
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 170315=20
NEZ000-KSZ000-170515-

Mesoscale Discussion 0744
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1015 PM CDT Sat May 16 2026

Areas affected...north-central into northeast Kansas and
south-central into southeast Nebraska

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 211...

Valid 170315Z - 170515Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 211
continues.

SUMMARY...The threat for significant damaging gusts of 70-85 mph
persist this evening.

DISCUSSION...A relatively compact but intense bow echo continues to
produce significant severe gusts as it moves across northern KS and
southern NE. Multiple gusts of 70-80+ mph have been measured over
the past few hours, most recently 82 mph at Holdrege NE. Notably,
these gusts have occurred even after cool northeast surface winds
were seen at these stations. As such, at least the leading edge of
the southward-moving outflow ahead of this bow does not appear to be
mitigating severe potential.=20

With a 50 kt low-level jet ahead of this activity and ample
instability, the damaging wind threat is expected to persist across
WW 211, possibly reaching the MO River later this evening.

..Jewell.. 05/17/2026

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!9kHjRnKHGhdn35UPV5yLW7g-DIMPHznvH5QElygWDcB3wIm15ZJG8dvpkaGdGuOb4op1v3fhu= D4gqJyYPi67HVUtSyU$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...OAX...TOP...GID...GLD...

LAT...LON 39209971 39589911 39939906 40539931 40719901 41039696
41089636 40879600 40559583 40039577 39699594 39439663
39409701 39209971=20

MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 90 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...75-90 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.00-1.75 IN


=3D =3D =3D
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